Stormy Music
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 68
Newmarket · Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Newbury | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |