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2

Winston's Oath

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Newmarket · Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Well bred but didn't set the world alight in bumpers/over hurdles for Dylan Cunha and showed nothing making a belated debut in this sphere for new yard at Leicester 8 days ago. One for low-grade handicaps moving forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Huntingdon 22/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m7f171y GS 14522/1255 @ Doncaster 28/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m128y Sft 1564 @ Market Rasen 15/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m125y GS 15415/0344 @ Fakenham 06/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m3y Gd 1584 @ Ludlow 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f169y Gd 14822/0445 @ Fakenham 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 90 · 2m4f1y Goo 151 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 90 par5 @ Uttoxeter 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 86 · 2m3f207y Gd 152 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 86 par13/065OR 865 @ Stratford 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 81 · 2m2f148y Goo 145 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 81 par4 @ Leicester 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 7f Goo 13729/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Leicester44th4th0
2026-06-30Stratford57th8th−1
2026-06-13Uttoxeter59th10th−1
2026-05-31Fakenham53rd4th−1
2026-04-22Ludlow46th6th0
2026-04-06Fakenham43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/126/0413/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 4
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength8%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 4.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20256th14/126%29%+0.02
28/02/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
15/03/20266th50/10%0%0.00
06/04/20263rd50/10%60%+0.60
22/04/20266th40/10%0%0.00
31/05/20263rd4/179%33%-0.46
13/06/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
30/06/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
29/07/20264th40/10%0%0.00