3
High Fibre
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 79
Newmarket · Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength72%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Market Rasen | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Warwick | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Plumpton | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Ludlow | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |