Percy Shelley
7yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 82
Newmarket · Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Cartmel | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Uttoxeter | 2 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Plumpton | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Ascot | 2 | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 16/5 | 83% | 38% | -0.46 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |