6
Maith Mar Or
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 60
Newmarket · Knight Frank Handicap · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |