4
Seeking Charles
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67
Newmarket · Knight Frank Handicap · 1m 4f
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength57%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-17 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-20 | Southwell | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Newbury | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2024 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2024 | 2nd | 125/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 18/09/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 20/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |