1
Doctor's Orders
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |