3

Go East

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 79

Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 76 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 76 par24/07C7OR 76C7 @ Delaware Park 30/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 77 par30/08C7OR 77C5 @ Penn National 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 81 par12/12C5OR 81C8 @ Penn National 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 74 par15/05C8OR 74C5 @ Penn National 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 82 par29/07C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Penn National?5th2nd+3
2026-05-15Penn National?1st1st0
2025-12-12Penn National?5th2nd+3
2025-08-30Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2025-07-24Delaware Park?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0730/0812/1215/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
30/08/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
12/12/20255th13/266%0%-0.66
15/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
29/07/20265th5/174%20%-0.54