6
Harbor Of Gold
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 78
Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |