Prince Of Rain
9yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88
Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-27 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Penn National | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2022 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/12/2023 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 06/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 27/11/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |