7

Rob The Rich

9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 72

Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 84 · 1m110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 84 par16/01C7OR 84C8 @ Laurel Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 91 · 7f 123 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Penn National 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 86 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 86 par20/03C8OR 86C7 @ Penn National 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 87 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Penn National 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 86 par16/05C8OR 86C7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Penn National 11/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 82 par11/06C7OR 82C8 @ Penn National 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m70y Fas 125 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Penn National 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 70 par24/07C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Penn National?1st1st0
2026-07-02Penn National?4th4th0
2026-06-11Penn National?5th4th+1
2026-05-23Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-05-16Penn National?5th5th0
2026-04-17Penn National?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0117/0411/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
28/02/20263rd2/189%50%-0.39
20/03/20264th15/890%40%-0.50
17/04/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
16/05/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
23/05/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
11/06/20265th6/168%0%-0.68
02/07/20264th15/890%25%-0.65
24/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18