
Rob The Rich
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 72
Penn National · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |