4
Tethered Soul
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Penn National · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength7%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |