3
Golden Plate
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 82
Penn National · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |