7
Waldrip
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89
Penn National · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |