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6

Drumstick

5yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 70

Sandown · Corinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a quiet hurdling debut for this yard at Newton Abbot last September but left that behind returned to the level in May, running out a commanding winner in 8-runner event at Windsor (1¼m, good). Returns from 7 lb higher and should be in the mix provided he's ready to go.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 08/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Sta 133 · beat its mark08/01/2025 · OR 68 par8/015OR 685 @ Kempton 15/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Sta 135 · beat its mark15/04/2025 · OR 67 par5 @ Newbury 16/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 67 · 1m Goo 137 · below its mark16/05/2025 · OR 67 par16/055OR 675 @ Nottingham 01/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 66 · 1m75y Goo 129 · beat its mark01/06/2025 · OR 66 par6 @ Kempton 09/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 64 par9/076OR 645 @ Newbury 24/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 65 · 1m2f Goo 136 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Kempton 19/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m2f219y Sta 138 · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 64 par19/085OR 644 @ Newton Abbot 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m167y Gd 1526 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 63 · 1m2f Goo 133 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 63 par4/056OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-04Windsor61st3rd−2
2025-09-29Newton Abbot48th8th0
2025-08-19Kempton57th8th−1
2025-07-24Newbury56th7th−1
2025-07-09Kempton62nd4th−2
2025-06-01Nottingham56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/011/0619/084/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20259th7/491%27%-0.64
15/04/20253rd3/184%78%-0.06
16/05/202513th17/255%0%-0.55
01/06/20256th11/142%58%+0.16
09/07/20252nd5/287%89%+0.02
24/07/20256th11/142%0%-0.42
19/08/20257th9/153%40%-0.13
29/09/20258th50/10%36%+0.36
04/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53