2
Epictetus
6yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 79
Sandown · Corinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 18/5 | 81% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 12/06/2026 | 17th | 11/1 | 42% | 6% | -0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |