IvyArcIvyArc
4

Impierious

3yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 82

Sandown · Corinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

18/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has finished third on all 3 starts but is proving a bit of a slow learner, still looking green/ungainly under pressure in 8-runner maiden at Ffos Las (1m, good) just over 5 weeks ago. First-time visor applied for his handicap debut and may well take a step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/0424 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m GF 1315/0644 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 13230/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Ffos Las43rd3rd0
2026-06-05Doncaster43rd3rd0
2026-04-16Newmarket23rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/045/0630/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20263rd18/15%78%+0.73
05/06/20263rd16/116%50%+0.34
30/06/20263rd18/581%71%-0.10