7

What's The Plan

3yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 75

Sandown · Corinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 7f Lingfield maiden last in September. Gelded over the winter and has returned an improved model, giving his all reunited with a fully-fledged rider when second of 4 at Lingfield (1¼m, firm) just over a fortnight ago. Looks up to adding to his tally.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 14/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 13114/0653 @ Haydock 08/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f212y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Lingfield 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f1y Std 1313/0952 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 20th of 26 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 79 par4 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m Sta 131 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 78 par22/104OR 785 @ Southwell 02/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m13y Std 135 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 74 · 1m1f201y Gd 134 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/055OR 745 @ Ripon 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m1f170y Goo 130 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m2f GF 133 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 74 par22/075OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Lingfield52nd3rd1
2026-06-18Ripon54th5th1
2026-05-23Salisbury53rd4th1
2026-04-02Southwell54th5th1
2025-10-22Kempton44th4th0
2025-10-04Newmarket220th18th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/064/1023/0522/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20252nd25/10%86%+0.86
08/08/20253rd6/492%67%-0.25
03/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
04/10/202520th40/10%24%+0.24
22/10/20254th9/488%25%-0.63
02/04/20264th7/282%63%-0.19
23/05/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34
18/06/20264th7/282%50%-0.32
22/07/20262nd4/596%67%-0.29