5
Kigali
2yo Gelding · 9-7
Sandown · British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 10y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |