9

Vesper Honey

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sandown · British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 10y

#8

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

St Mark's Basilica filly who has shown precious little in a couple of 6f maidens so far. Dropped to the minimum trip but seems set for another struggle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/0534 @ Kempton 29/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 12829/064projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Kempton49th9th0
2026-05-23Goodwood38th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0529/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
29/06/20269th80/10%11%+0.11