3

Edwin Hubble

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 77

Sandown · Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still lightly raced and produced best effort to date when second at Windsor (11.5f) in June. Far from disgraced whilst possibly stretched by even stiffer test when fifth at Ascot (1½m) since and he's not discounted with blinkers enlisted and Oisin Murphy in the plate back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 16/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/0824 @ Epsom Downs 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13311/0944 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Goo 12827/0944 @ Goodwood 12/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 1m1f11y Gd 133 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 77 par12/104OR 774 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m1f209y Gd 132 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 par12/064OR 775 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 75 · 1m3f99y GF 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 75 par22/065OR 754 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 77 · 1m3f211y GF 128 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 77 par25/074OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Ascot45th5th0
2026-06-22Windsor52nd3rd1
2026-06-12Sandown47th7th0
2025-10-12Goodwood42nd2nd0
2025-09-27Haydock43rd3rd0
2025-09-11Epsom Downs43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0812/1025/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 3
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20257th18/15%33%+0.28
11/09/20253rd6/594%60%-0.34
27/09/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
12/10/20252nd10/147%83%+0.36
12/06/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
22/06/20262nd13/891%75%-0.16
25/07/20265th3/184%71%-0.13