1
Elan D'or
3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 86
Sandown · Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 3 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 3
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 3.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 04/10/2025 | 15th | 150/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |