2

Interstate
3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 81
Sandown · Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap · 1m 1f 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 3.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 18% | -0.24 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |