2

Interstate

3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 81

Sandown · Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap · 1m 1f 209y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Palace Pier colt who boasts a progressive profile, taking further step forward from his juvenile form after 8 months off when just touched off in 4-runner Doncaster novice (1¼m, good to firm) 2 weeks ago. Cheekpieces worn then retained for handicap debut and likely there's even better to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13013/1055 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13320/1153 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m2f43y GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS23/073projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Doncaster32nd1st+1
2025-11-20Southwell52nd3rd1
2025-10-13Kempton510th11th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1020/1123/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength90%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 3.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/202510th11/142%18%-0.24
20/11/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
23/07/20262nd5/287%67%-0.20