6
Thursday Girl
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 76
Sandown · BetMGM 80s Day Saturday 29 August Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-10-02 | Salisbury | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |