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6

Amused

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69

Sandown · Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won a 7f claimer in France last summer. Mixed bag for current connections, though bounced back to form when second of 12 over C&D (good) a fortnight ago. His task is to now back that up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 7f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 77 par14/104OR 775 @ Leicester 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 75 · 7f Sft 138 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 75 par5 @ Lingfield 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 73 par25/115OR 735 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 72 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Epsom Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m113y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 71 par28/044OR 715 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 70 · 7f216y Gd 135 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 70 par9/065OR 704 @ Sandown 03/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 67 · 1m Goo 140 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 par23/075OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Sandown52nd2nd0
2026-07-03Sandown410th9th+1
2026-06-09Brighton511th11th0
2026-06-01Lingfield52nd2nd0
2026-04-28Epsom Downs410th9th+1
2025-12-10Kempton55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1010/129/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20252nd10/382%83%+0.01
28/10/20255th15/890%0%-0.90
25/11/20255th25/10%64%+0.64
10/12/20255th25/10%64%+0.64
28/04/202610th40/10%0%0.00
01/06/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44
09/06/202611th14/126%9%-0.17
03/07/202610th40/10%0%0.00
23/07/20262nd25/10%91%+0.91