Bubbles Wonky
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 74
Sandown · Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Lingfield | 2 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-01-15 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |