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4

Great Blasket

6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 68

Sandown · Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

90%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had a first-time visor applied and justified support in comfortable fashion for new connections in 5-runner event at Nottingham (8.3f, good) last week, drawing clear final 1f for hands-and-heels riding. Carries a 5-lb penalty here and fancied to take some stopping for his excellent new handler.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Wolverhampton 08/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 80 · 1m142y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 80 par8/113OR 804 @ Kempton 03/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 78 · 1m Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/12/2025 · OR 78 par4 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m1y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 76 par31/124OR 765 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m1f104y Std 137 · below its mark26/01/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m31y Goo 132 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 72 par7/055OR 725 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m75y Goo 131 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Goo 137 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 71 par15/065OR 715 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m14y GF 130 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Nottingham 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 68 · 1m75y Goo 133 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 68 par30/075OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Nottingham51st1st0
2026-06-27Chepstow56th6th0
2026-06-15Wetherby57th7th0
2026-05-31Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-05-07Windsor54th4th0
2026-01-26Wolverhampton59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1126/0115/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/202511th33/10%9%+0.09
03/12/202511th40/10%0%0.00
31/12/20256th25/10%0%0.00
26/01/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
07/05/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
31/05/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
15/06/20267th9/153%0%-0.53
27/06/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
30/07/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03