War Chant
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 71
Sandown · Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2024-12-12 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2024 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 31/10/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/11/2024 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 12/12/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 24/09/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |