5
Superpower
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Saratoga · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |