6
Thrill Of It
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Saratoga · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |