Amicus Curiae

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 74

Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +1.9

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-25	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2025-10-23	Belmont At The Big A	?	10th	7th	+3	3.0
2025-09-27	Belmont At The Big A	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2025-08-28	Saratoga	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 15

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▲

Strength85%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
28/08/2025	7th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
27/09/2025	9th	20/1	0%	20%	+0.20
23/10/2025	10th	40/1	0%	18%	+0.18
25/06/2026	4th	9/1	53%	57%	+0.05