3
Italianne
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 57
Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 15
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |