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12

Saratoga Daisy

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 77

Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength83%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS24/04C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 57 · 6f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 57 par17/05C6OR 57C6 @ Saratoga 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 72 par19/07C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Saratoga?8th5th+3
2026-05-17Belmont At The Big A?4th1st+3
2026-04-24Aqueduct?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0417/0519/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
17/05/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
19/07/20268th33/10%36%+0.36