10
Sky Low Low
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 71
Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |