7

Tank Girl
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 40
Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#15
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-03-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |