7

Tank Girl

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 40

Saratoga · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#15

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 03/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m 1223/01C9C6 @ Aqueduct 12/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS12/02C6C9 @ Aqueduct 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m 12219/03C9C6 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 22 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 22 par4/07C6OR 22C9 @ Saratoga 16/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 33 · 1m110y Fm 121 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 33 par16/07C9OR 33projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Saratoga?11th11th0
2026-07-04Saratoga?10th7th+3
2026-03-19Aqueduct?5th5th0
2026-02-12Aqueduct?6th3rd+3
2026-01-03Aqueduct?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0112/0219/034/0716/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
12/02/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
19/03/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
04/07/202610th50/10%0%0.00
16/07/202611th50/10%9%+0.09