IvyArcIvyArc
2

Easemyworriedmind

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 62

Saratoga · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS29/03C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 60 par1/05C6OR 60C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 58 · 6f 121 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 58 par26/06C9OR 58projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big A?7th7th0
2026-05-01Belmont At The Big A?8th5th+3
2026-03-29Aqueduct?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/031/0526/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength6%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20264th7/282%25%-0.57
01/05/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
26/06/20267th8/158%0%-0.58