City Blocks
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 81
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |