7
Irish Jackson
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 79
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 28/03/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 16/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |