1

Jackie The Joker

7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 63

Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m 123 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 68 par1/01C8OR 68C7 @ Aqueduct 18/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 62 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 62 parC7 @ Aqueduct 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 64 par13/02C7OR 64C8 @ Aqueduct 26/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 6f Slo 123 · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Aqueduct 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 70 · 7f 123 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 70 par9/04C8OR 70C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 69 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 7f 123 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 67 par23/05C8OR 67C8 @ Belmont At The Big A 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 70 · 7f 123 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 70 parC7 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 72 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 72 par10/07C7OR 72projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Saratoga?8th7th+1
2026-06-13Belmont At The Big A?1st1st0
2026-05-23Belmont At The Big A?1st1st0
2026-05-07Belmont At The Big A?5th4th+1
2026-04-09Aqueduct?3rd3rd0
2026-02-26Aqueduct?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0126/0223/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
18/01/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
13/02/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
26/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
09/04/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
07/05/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
23/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
13/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
10/07/20268th1/195%0%-0.95