
Jackie The Joker
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 63
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 8th | 1/1 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |