Jackson's Dixie
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 76
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |