5
Open Soul Autism
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |