6
Top Of The Table
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 75
Saratoga · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 24/05/2025 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |