8
Eye On The Ball
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Saratoga · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |