High Leverage
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 77
Saratoga · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |