Tizlawry
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 69
Saratoga · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-12-31 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 31/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |