4
Until Last Call
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66
Saratoga · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |