Alan Turing
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 100
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |