Daunt
7yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 102
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |