Slapintheface
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 97
Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 18/10/2024 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 91% | -0.05 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |