12

Tacticality

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 99

Saratoga · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11931/08C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 85 par24/10C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 85 par11/01C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 89 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 89 par12/03C6OR 89C5 @ Keeneland 10/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 97 par10/04C5OR 97C6 @ Monmouth Park 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 98 · 1m110y 117 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 98 par24/05C6OR 98projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Monmouth Park?1st1st0
2026-04-10Keeneland?10th9th+1
2026-03-12Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-01-11Gulfstream?4th4th0
2025-10-24Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd1
2025-08-31Saratoga?5th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0824/1011/0112/0310/0424/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength75%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
24/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
11/01/20264th10/147%63%+0.15
12/03/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
10/04/202610th5/174%18%-0.56
24/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24